Tuesday, October 10, 2006


Is Anyone Paying Attention? --
Hotline On Call: "The swingiest constituency may be white Catholics: 'More of a swing group is white Catholics. Their preference for Democrats from an 18-point margin in August to a mere two-point margin in September, to a 22-point margin now. Where they end up is essential; along with independents, Catholics historically have been a decisive group in election outcomes.'"

Notice that the generic ballot question had the margin between people supporting Democrats and those preferring Republicans swinging from 13 points to eight points and back to 13.

I've been harping on the notion that the Democrats' chances are strongly tied to how they do with Catholic voters.
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